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Nigeria external borrowing plan puts repayment on taxpayers

Ekpedeme Edidiong8 min read

Edited by Omotolani Ajileye

Nigeria external borrowing plan puts repayment on taxpayers
Coins, currency and investment. Photo: stevepb / Pixabay

Nigeria external borrowing plan with Senate debt committee

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has asked the Senate to approve a ₦10.79 trillion Nigeria external borrowing plan, worth approximately $7.7 billion, and the proposal is now with the Senate debt committee.

On 4 November 2026, the president wrote to senators asking them to back the new external borrowing plan. The money is expected to finance part of the Federal Government's 2026 budget deficit and support projects across several sectors.

At first glance, this may sound like another government funding arrangement. But there is more to it.

Nigeria already has a huge debt burden. Millions of citizens are also dealing with high living costs, poor infrastructure, unemployment and unreliable electricity. Naturally, another borrowing proposal raises questions.

Why does Nigeria need more loans? What will the money be used for? And, perhaps more importantly, how will the country repay it?

These are questions worth examining.

Why Does Nigeria Need to Borrow More Money?

Running a country costs money. Governments require funds to build roads, maintain hospitals, pay workers, provide security and invest in education. They also require money to support agriculture, electricity, and other essential services.

Ideally, these expenses should be covered by government revenue.

But that is not always possible.

Nigeria generates revenue from taxes, oil and gas, customs duties and other sources. Unfortunately, these sources have not been enough to meet the country's growing spending needs.

When a government spends more than it earns, the difference is called a budget deficit.

Nigeria's 2026 budget has a projected deficit of about ₦31.4 trillion. This means the government expects to spend significantly more than it will generate in revenue.

It must find the money somewhere.

One option is borrowing. The 2026 budget provides for approximately ₦29.2 trillion in new borrowing:

  • domestic borrowing of about ₦18.4 trillion;
  • external borrowing of ₦10.79 trillion.

President Tinubu's latest request concerns the external borrowing component of the plan.

What Is External Borrowing?

External borrowing simply means obtaining loans from lenders outside Nigeria.

These lenders may include foreign governments, international banks, financial institutions and private investors. Organisations such as the World Bank and African Development Bank are examples of international lenders.

Nigeria can also raise money through Eurobonds.

A Eurobond is a debt instrument issued in international financial markets. It allows a government or company to raise funds from investors in other countries. The bond may be issued in US dollars or another foreign currency.

The arrangement is straightforward.

Investors provide the money. The government agrees to repay it with interest over an agreed period.

This can help a country raise substantial funds without depending entirely on its domestic financial market.

However, there is a catch.

Most international loans must be repaid in foreign currency. If the Naira loses value against the dollar, Nigeria will need more Naira to repay the same amount of debt.

That is one of the risks of the Nigeria external borrowing plan, and of external borrowing generally.

What Will the ₦10.79 Trillion Be Used For?

The government says the proposed funds will support projects and programmes across several sectors. These include security, transportation, agriculture, education, healthcare, and electricity.

Each of these sectors has its own challenges.

Security

Nigeria continues to battle terrorism, banditry, kidnapping, and other security threats. These problems have affected communities, businesses and economic activities across the country.

Additional funding could help improve security equipment, intelligence gathering, personnel training and operational capacity.

But Nigerians will want to see results. More money should translate into safer communities.

Transportation

Poor roads and inadequate transport infrastructure increase the cost of doing business. Farmers struggle to move produce to markets. Businesses spend more money transporting goods.

Investment in roads, railways, and bridges could make a difference. It could also improve trade between different parts of the country.

Agriculture

Food prices remain a major concern for many Nigerian households. Increasing agricultural production is one way to address the issue.

Funding could support irrigation, storage facilities, modern farming equipment and other agricultural infrastructure.

The goal should be simple: produce more food and reduce waste.

Electricity

Power supply remains a serious challenge. Many businesses depend on generators because they cannot rely on the national grid.

This increases production costs and affects business growth.

Investment in electricity infrastructure could improve supply and reduce the burden on households and businesses.

Education and healthcare

Schools and hospitals also need attention. Funding could support better facilities, medical equipment, learning materials and improved access to essential services.

These investments matter because economic development is difficult without a healthy and educated population.

However, announcing allocations is not enough. The government must show how the money is spent and what it achieves.

Why Is the Government Considering Eurobonds?

The government has indicated that it will give greater attention to Eurobond issuance as part of its external borrowing strategy.

There is a reason for this.

Eurobonds allow governments to access international investors and raise substantial amounts of money. Depending on market conditions, they may also provide access to competitive financing terms.

However, borrowing through this route is not automatically cheap.

Interest rates depend on several factors:

  • Nigeria's credit rating;
  • investor confidence;
  • global interest rates;
  • the general condition of international financial markets.

The government must also consider the repayment period and other conditions attached to the bonds.

For now, the final borrowing terms will depend on the financing arrangements eventually concluded.

This is why Nigerians need more information about the proposed loans. How much interest will the country pay? When will repayment begin? What happens if the Naira weakens further?

These details matter.

How Will the Borrowing Affect the Nigerian Economy?

Borrowing is not necessarily bad. Countries borrow money all the time.

The real issue is what they do with it.

Consider a government that borrows money to build a major road connecting farming communities to commercial centres. Farmers can move their produce more easily. Transport costs may fall. Businesses can reach new markets.

The project could generate economic benefits for many years.

The same applies to electricity. Better power supply can reduce business expenses, support manufacturing and encourage investment.

In such cases, borrowing can support economic growth.

But things can go wrong.

Imagine borrowing billions of Naira to finance projects that are abandoned halfway or completed without delivering any real value. The government still has to repay the money, even though citizens receive little or no benefit.

That is the danger.

There is also the pressure of debt repayment. Money used to service loans cannot be spent on other public needs. This could leave less funding for hospitals, schools, roads and social programmes.

External borrowing creates another challenge. When the Naira depreciates, the cost of repaying dollar-denominated loans increases.

Nigeria must therefore consider more than the amount it wants to borrow. It must also consider how much it can realistically repay.

Nigeria's Growing Debt Burden

Nigeria's public debt has continued to rise.

According to the Debt Management Office, the country's total public debt stood at approximately ₦166.79 trillion as of 30 June 2026. This was higher than the ₦159.35 trillion recorded at the end of March 2026.

These figures include the debt of the Federal Government and state governments.

The bigger concern is debt servicing.

Debt servicing refers to the money government pays to meet its loan obligations. This includes interest payments and repayment of borrowed principal.

The Federal Government's 2026 budget provides approximately ₦15.81 trillion for debt servicing.

Think about that amount.

It represents money that must be set aside to meet existing debt obligations rather than fund new projects and public services.

The more money government spends servicing debt, the greater the pressure on its finances. This makes revenue generation even more important.

Borrowing more money without addressing this challenge could create problems in the years ahead.

What Happens Next for the Nigeria External Borrowing Plan?

President Tinubu's request does not mean the loan has already been approved or disbursed.

The Senate has referred the proposal to its Committee on Local and Foreign Debts for consideration. The committee is expected to examine the request before reporting back to the Senate.

This is an significant stage.

Lawmakers need to understand the purpose of the borrowing, the proposed financing arrangements and the country's ability to repay the loans.

They should also demand details about the projects that will receive funding.

Nigerians deserve the same information.

The government should publish clear details of project allocations, implementation timelines and expected outcomes. There should also be regular reports showing how the money is spent.

Public funds require public accountability.

Can Nigeria Borrow Its Way to Economic Growth?

Nigeria needs money to develop. That much is clear.

However, borrowing cannot be the country's only solution.

The government needs to improve revenue collection, reduce waste and address financial leakages. It must also create an environment where businesses can grow, employ more people and contribute to government revenue.

There is also a need to review government spending. Not every project requires a loan. Some expenses can be reduced, while available resources can be directed towards areas with greater economic value.

Most importantly, borrowed money must produce results.

A loan used to improve electricity supply, build productive infrastructure or expand agricultural capacity may create long-term benefits. A loan spent without proper planning simply creates another repayment burden.

Nigeria needs to make that distinction.

Conclusion

The proposed ₦10.79 trillion external borrowing plan presents Nigeria with an opportunity, but it also carries significant risks.

The money could support projects that improve security, transportation, agriculture, education, healthcare and electricity. If properly managed, these investments could contribute to economic growth and improve living conditions.

But the country cannot afford to borrow endlessly without clear results.

For ordinary Nigerians, the debate should go beyond the size of the proposed loan. What matters is whether the money will translate into better roads, more reliable electricity, improved healthcare, quality education and safer communities.

Nigerians have heard many promises before.

This time, they need to see results.

The real measure of this Nigeria external borrowing plan will not be how much money the government raises. It will be what the country achieves with it, and whether those achievements are worth the debt Nigeria must repay.